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Distressed Office Deals Are Rewriting the Rulebook

Distressed Office Deals Are Rewriting the Rulebook

When distressed deals set price benchmarks, they ripple outward. Lenders reprice their exposure. Owners who’ve been avoiding mark-to-market face harder choices. And buyers with dry powder start moving faster before the window narrows. The office market isn’t recovering in the traditional sense, it’s restructuring, with new ownership, new use cases, and new capital structures replacing what existed before.

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The Extend-and-Pretend Era Is Over: Office Loan Delinquencies Shatter Records as the Reckoning Arrives

The Extend-and-Pretend Era Is Over

Some analysts believe 2026 will mark peak delinquency for the office sector, with vacancies finally beginning to stabilize after five consecutive years of expansion and a clear bifurcation emerging between newer trophy product and functionally obsolete stock. Office conversions to residential — particularly in New York City — are beginning to absorb some of the distressed inventory, and servicers have grown considerably more sophisticated at executing loan modifications that reduce loss severities compared to outright foreclosure. The underwriting discipline of post-2008 CMBS also provides a structural buffer absent during the last crisis.

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The New Rules of the Game

How 2026 Underwriting Standards Are Reshaping Commercial Real Estate Refinancing The commercial real estate refinancing landscape is undergoing a fundamental

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